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Tropical Update – September 19, 2019

Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

800 AM EDT Thu Sep 19 2019

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane

Humberto, located several hundred miles northeast of Bermuda,

and on Tropical Storm Jerry, located several hundred miles east of

the Leeward Islands.

1. A tropical wave located about 1000 miles west of the Cabo Verde

Islands is producing disorganized cloudiness and showers. Some

development of this system is possible while the system approaches

the Windward Islands this weekend or when it moves across the

eastern Caribbean Sea early next week.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days…low…30 percent.

2. An elongated area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave

is located just south of the Dominican Republic. Although

upper-level winds are not conducive for significant development,

thunderstorm activity has become more concentrated since yesterday.

Some slight development is still possible before the system begins

to interact with the high terrain of Hispaniola. Regardless of

development, locally heavy rainfall is possible over portions of the

Dominican Republic and Haiti during the next day or two. The

disturbance is forecast to move slowly northwestward through the


* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days…low…10 percent.

3. A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa in

a few days. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive

for at least gradual development thereafter while the system moves

westward over the far eastern tropical Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent.


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